Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 5.764470 6.319676 6.929555 7.653821 8.496560 9.453798 10.634329
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 5.095820 5.887013 6.829266 8.054509 9.637307 11.660466 14.525910
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 4.612223 5.510151 6.637728 8.198461 10.373961 13.421304 18.268883
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 4.166280 5.093559 6.301934 8.051742 10.634369 14.523344 21.346473
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 3.833473 4.774443 6.038200 7.938527 10.885088 15.619818 24.738144
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.542303 4.476899 5.762649 7.756346 10.977868 16.454266 27.939173
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.338203 4.277718 5.600193 7.712881 11.269614 17.676226 32.412261
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.167677 4.109616 5.463120 7.685201 11.572685 18.979042 37.704713
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.068945 4.035070 5.454911 7.857615 12.248935 21.186872 46.633171
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.882914 3.818680 5.211298 7.608763 12.102703 21.617249 50.813529
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.716899 3.621907 4.983523 7.363177 11.925101 21.935675 54.916833
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.587636 3.472887 4.820206 7.212948 11.912653 22.641329 61.011378
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.472606 3.346249 4.695067 7.139247 12.091087 23.996499 71.713873
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.449016 3.360079 4.800473 7.500844 13.272701 28.507666 105.114057
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.383887 3.303745 4.783784 7.630324 13.971785 32.028056 143.947084
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.279974 3.179076 4.641302 7.498397 14.031732 33.579339 174.643145
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.189721 3.071444 4.520525 7.396512 14.147548 35.406950 217.733114
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.096787 2.954705 4.376239 7.232409 14.078304 36.558484 261.787152
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.029877 2.877355 4.296401 7.193229 14.329295 39.125100 353.336113
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.969834 2.808337 4.226827 7.168272 14.615875 42.055450 503.271058
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.939121 2.786607 4.240866 7.323653 15.442133 48.089524 980.996769
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.858938 2.677682 4.088592 7.099331 15.123619 48.294256 1213.329344
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.783749 2.574564 3.942311 6.877598 14.782378 48.260688 1489.065352